In a democratic
state like ours, everyone has the liberty of
expressing his or her views on any issue
concerning the State and its people.
However, no one has the liberty to mislead
and confuse the public by spreading wrong
information, feeding unverified facts and
figures. We appreciate the concern shown by
members of the Citizens Concerned for Dams &
Development, Action Against Tipaimukh Dam
and Zeliangrong Naga Union, Hmar Students
Union and few other Anti-Dam lobbyists.
Everyone in Manipur is a stake-holder in any
developmental project to be taken up by the
Government and everyone is equally concerned
to the merits and demerits of such projects.
It is imperative to know the accurate
information before jumping into any
bandwagon of anti-dam or pro-dam lobbies.
The so called 'Open Debate' sponsored by the
anti-dam lobbyists few weeks ago was nothing
but anti-dam outbursts with concocted facts,
absurd hypothetical theories to mislead and
misinform the common people who has no
access to the technical details and expert
opinions. There was nothing open about the
debate and not a single speaker has pointed
out about the positive aspects of the
proposed project which has the annual
generating capacity of 3895.14 GWH of power,
which is worth more than Rs.1168.5 crores
per year at Rs. 3/- per unit and provide job
opportunities to our people, facilitate
inland water transportation in 375 Km long
waterways in our underdeveloped and least
accessible region, and has the potential of
developing reservoir fishery etc. We are
bound to respect the scholars and experts as
long as they give their views accurately on
their subject without any adulteration or
bias. When scholars start claiming their
authority in every subject with partisan
statements, it is the time to remind them
what they know in their own subjects may
even be inadequate.
Hydropower projects are multi-dimensional
projects involving varied fields like
hydrology, civil and electrical engineering,
geology, seismology, environment and ecology
etc. Without in-depth studies in these
fields, no mega project like Tipaimukh
multipurpose project could proceed. At least
47 such expert teams have studied the
upstream and the downstream of the proposed
Dam Site in the last 30 years for the
preparation of the Detailed Project Report.
The team from the Central Water Commission
spent more than 10 years measuring the flow
of the Barak River at different points to
study the hydrology of the River. So many
other teams did their investigations. I met
some of these teams and members myself
during reconnaissance of the region in 1983
and three month long the Barak Expedition in
1985. If our own Manipuri experts consider
the views expressed by these expert teams
totally wrong, and they have their own
investigations carried out, anyone would be
ready to welcome their correct investigation
reports. Perhaps all investigations may not
be 100% correct. But you cannot completely
reject all. Merely lecturing innocent people
the hypothetical conclusions arrived at by
reading World Commission on Dams and views
of those with preconceived ideas to oppose
anything that the Government of India or
Government of Manipur decide for the welfare
and larger interests of the country will
certainly have much larger negative impacts
on our people, worse than the ecological and
social impacts of this project.
Our people need to know the unadulterated
facts and should not be emotionally provoked
by the irrational views and theories
propounded by some self-acclaimed experts. I
am not an expert and have no pretensions to
claim as such. As a rational being, I may at
least be considered to posses the ability to
disseminate information collected from
various experts and identify the fake
experts from the real experts and give my
views. I can tell at least, what is black,
what is grey and what is white after having
seen with my own eyes. No expert can force
people to believe what is black as white
because he wants others to believe that way.
Let us examine some of the irrational
outbursts of our learned experts who have so
many imaginary fears projected to the common
people. Let us take one by one some of the
gross misinformation campaigns undertaken by
the anti-dam experts. We will not indulge in
responding to some of ridiculous outbursts,
which do not deserve for discussion in
public.
Antecedents & present status of the project
It is ridiculous to reject a developmental
project on the ground that Tipaimukh Dam
Project was muted more than 90 years ago but
has not been implemented so far. Moreover,
Tipaimukh Dam was never conceived 90 years
ago. The fact is that Central Water and
Power Commission conceived the idea of
harnessing the Barak to moderate flood
ravages in Surma Valley by investigating
three possible sites at Naraindhar,
Mainadhar and Bhubandhar between 1954 to
1965. However, these sites were rejected by
the Government of India mainly due to
large-scale submergence of cultivable land
in Cachar District for which the project was
conceived & dams at these sites do not
contribute much in flood moderation. The
actual investigation works of the Tipaimukh
project started by CWC in 1977, which was
later, handed over to Brahmaputra Board. It
was only in 1988 that Brahmaputra Board
submitted its report to take up the project
in two phases of flood moderation and later
for power generation. The project was
revised in 1994 but Manipur Government
opposed the Dam and the Project was kept in
abeyance. It was only in 1998 that Manipur
Government expressed its willingness for
execution of the project as a hydroelectric
project.
Some people are trying to paint the history
of this Project as an intrigue of the
Central Government towards the people of
Manipur by telling people that, the issue is
90 years old and rejected many times earlier
and should be rejected now. The logic that a
concept once rejected due to lack of
understanding should be rejected forever is
not understandable.
Another absurd and irrational presumption is
the conspiracy theory about the renaming of
flood control to power project and handing
over from Brahmaputra Board to NEEPCO. Anti
Dam people are saying that the Central
Government manipulated the flood moderation
dam by renaming it as Power Project and
handing over to NEEPCO. Everyone knows that
Brahmaputra Board is basically responsible
for Flood Control and not for Power
Generation. It is natural for NEEPCO or NHPC
to take over the project, as the priority is
now power generation and flood control being
the secondary benefit.
Power Generation
Repeatedly, the anti dam lobbyists are
telling lies about the Power Generation of
1500 MW and Firm Power of 404.44 MW. They
are telling people that this project will
generate only about 405 MW and Manipur will
get only 43 MW of free power. Yes, during
lean season the minimum power expected (Firm
Power) is only 404.44 MW as per the Earlier
DPR. However, when the reservoir is full,
the project is designed to generate 1500 MW.
During monsoon period from June to October,
there is no reason why it should not
generate 1500 MW. The question of
under-performance as well as
over-performance of hydroelectric projects
cannot be ruled out as the natural forces
are totally unpredictable and it is the
application of thumb rule to arrive at such
conclusions. I also agree with the anti-dam
experts on one point that the Annual Power
Generation is too low considering the large
catchments area, large storage area
(reservoir 311 sq kms in Manipur & Mizoram)
and heavy rainfall in the catchments area.
The power load factor is only 29% in the
pre-sent design. The project seems to be
designed with more emphasis on flood
moderation with subsidiary benefit for power
generation. If required Government of
Manipur should intervene and ask CEA or
NEEPCO to redesign the Dam to harness 100%
of the annual run-off without affecting
flood moderation design. Why should NEEPCO
have 136 meters height as head for the two
intake power tunnels? Is it not possible to
increase the head (height of the mouth of
intake power tunnel to the turbine) to the
optimum? Is the project compromising power
generation for flood control? Is not it
possible to have two or three sets of power
tunnels at different heights to optimize
power generation? Any gain in extra power
generation will benefit everyone and those
who are opposing the project may even agree
to the dam if the power generation is
increased.
Leaving aside Installed Power Generation
(1500 MW) and Firm Power (404 MW), which are
the two extremes of power generation of the
Hydro-electric Power projects, we are more
interested in Annual Power Generation of the
Project, which is worked out to around 3895
GWH. The present design of the project with
around 29% load factor is the reason for
economic non-viability of the project and
Manipur should object to it. Even thermal
power projects are not below 58% load factor
and most of the hydroelectric projects are
designed around 60% load factor. With such a
low load factor, Manipur and Mizoram get
less than they deserve. There is a
requirement to examine the power generation
design of the project. It should be designed
with the primary objective of optimum power
generation with the subsidiary benefit in
flood moderation. Manipur and Mizoram should
not submerge their large territory if not
complementary benefits are given to them
with the optimum power generation.
Submersion
Wild charges are made about the submersion
area in Manipur. In the recent so called
‘OPEN DEBATE’ which was more or less wild
allegations by the anti dam protesters to
sabotage the project, certain speakers have
claimed that one third of Manipur is being
submerged. At 180 meters Max Flood Level,
area to be submerged in Manipur is 293.56 sq
km. Since the maximum reservoir level to be
maintained at 175 meters to ensure adequate
power generation as well as flood moderation
at downstream, the submersion area is around
273 sq kms in Manipur. Out of total area of
22,327 sq km of Manipur, it will be 1.31 %
of the total area of the state and cannot be
one third of Manipur. During lean season,
the Reservoir level will be reduced to
around 136 meters and the submerged area
will be much lesser and may be around 170 sq
Km only which is less than 1% of the total
area of the state. Thus, 170 sq Km will be
permanently submerged and the area above
that will be submerged from time to time
depending on the rainfall as well as the
manner of the operation of the dam. Some
experts’ contention that 15 meters above the
submerged area will also become un-usable
because of capillary action of standing
water is without any foundation. If that is
the case, almost the entire Manipur Valley
will become un-usable because of the Loktak
Project. The most of areas of Manipur Valley
districts of Manipur are below 15 meters
above the level of Loktak Lake. We find
maximum paddy fields in Manipur within five
meters above the level of the lake. No such
case has been reported in any of the 4000
large reservoirs constructed in the country.
If any such data is available with any
scholars, we must forward the same to the
Central Water Commission for claiming
additional compensation to our state. Some
speakers are claiming that more than 7800 sq
Kms will be rendered unusable by the
Project.
Another question of submersion of Zielad
Lakes in Tousem sub division is
unimaginable. Zielad Lakes are located above
230 meters above sea level. Even the famous
Barak Falls will be visible as it is during
lean season as the first waterfall is above
160 meters. Even today, the waterfall and
other prominent rock relic are submerged
during monsoon period and visible only
during lean season. The exposed Rongmei rock
relic near Tajijang and Vamgaijang are also
seen only during lean season and it will
remain visible during lean season even after
the construction of the dam. NEEPCO has
promised to develop a Tourism Centre for the
Barak Falls, Zeilad Lakes and Rongmei
historical relic rocks at the project costs.
We should request NEEPCO to provide the best
facilities in this Tourism centre so that
this beautiful waterfall and lakes could
attract world-class tourists.
Wild charges are also made about the
submersion of orange orchards of Tamenglong
District. Oranges are grown mainly in and
around Tamei, Tousang and Thangal villages,
which are far away and much higher places
from the proposed reservoir area. I have
traveled the entire length of the Barak from
Liyai Khunou to Jirimukh and have not seen
any orange orchard below 300 meters above
sea level. There is no question of
Tamenglong Orange Festival affected by the
dam. If anybody has seen any orange orchard
in the proposed reservoir area, we should
compel the project authority to create
orange orchards ten times the size of the
orchard as compensation.
Decision making process
In the decision making process for the
development of any region, we need to focus
our considerations at the global, national,
regional and local aspects. Merely because
some people do not want the dam to be
constructed should not decide our future
plans. We have the Planning Commission,
Central Water Commission, Central
Electricity Authority, Central and State
Pollution Control Boards, Ministry of
Environment and Ecology and finally the
elected central and state government to plan
and mobilize our natural and human resources
and decide implementation of development
projects for the welfare and larger
interests of the country.
It is
impossible to include each and everyone in
the decision making process which will only
complicate the related issues and result in
interminable, unproductive debates. There is
public hearing with the directly affected
people before the project is implemented,
and affected people will be heard. Everyone
is not an expert in every field, and views
of the best experts on the concerned subject
should be considered. If we have any
credited experts among the opponents of this
project, every rational citizen should be
ready to accept his or her views. But, it
should not be merely obstructionist theories
propagated by developed countries that have
maximum number of large dams, and telling
others not to construct dams.
Once, we have given the mandate to the
elected representatives, it is their
responsibility to decide keeping in view the
valid findings of the experts and for the
greater public interests. I really doubt
that each and everyone whose buildings were
demolished for the widening of NH-39 from
Moirangkhom to Singjamei were happy and
willingly agreed to the Government proposal
for the greater interests of the people.
I don’t think the Government of Manipur
requires the permission of the affected
people, or consultation with the relatives
or supporters of the building owners. Yes,
the Government has to compensate their
losses. My sympathy is with them and I
appreciate their sacrifice for sake of the
State. We must have sympathy for those who
are to be directly affected with this
Project should demand their adequate
compensation and proper rehabilitation. But,
if you insist to obtain permission to
implement the project from the very people
who are to be uprooted by the project and
also insist to consult those people who are
ever ready to incite such unfortunate
project affected people, no developmental
project could be implemented trouble free.
If everyone is to be involved in the
decision making process, even the best
developmental projects may not take-off at
all. We should understand that in spite of
objections, obstructions, interferences by
the selfish developed countries and
over-enthusiastic NGOs over 160 large dams
are commissioned every year in the world and
there are more than 45,000 large dams in the
world.
All those suggestions given by the World
Commission of Dams, the so called right and
risks approach, stakeholders participation
in decision making are all un-practicable
suggestions so that debates on dams become
interminable and the cost of decision making
becomes costlier to offset the economic
viability of any project. USA, with a
population of 29 crores, have constructed
more than 6375 large dams, have already
stockpiled nuclear arsenals and are
preaching developing countries the sermons
not to develop because dams are harmful to
ecology and nuclear programs are threat to
world peace.
No
intellectual with self-respect should
blindly follow such selfish sermons. We
cannot say that all large dams are bad
because some large dams are ill planned and
badly operated elsewhere in the world. Aswan
High Dam has changed Egypt from a backward
desert country to a developed modern state,
Bhakra-Nangal Dams have changed the rural
Punjab and Haryana to a highly prosperous
States feeding almost half the country
through irrigation by this dam and have
become highly industrialized States with the
electricity provided by this dam. The water
of this dam has turned Ganganagar and
Bikanir, the two desert districts of
Rajasthan green through Indira Gandhi Lift
Canal. This dam is nearly half a century
old. We should know that, almost all the
Asian countries including India and China
and developing countries in other continents
have rejected the recommendations of the
World Commission on Dams. Of course, Japan,
a small country having 13 crore population
but having more than 2475 large dams, having
no other technically feasible water
resources project available has gladly
endorsed the recommendations of the World
Commission on Dams.
If any suggestion for better alternative to
Dams to alleviate the poverty of our state,
open avenues for employment generation to
our ever increasing educated unemployed
youths, anyone would be willing to accept
such alternative projects. If you have no
viable alternative for development, why not
accept what is available option. Today, the
expectations of the people from the elected
governments are very high. Internal threat
from our own impoverished deprived and
discontent citizens is looming larger than
external threat from foreign aggressions.
Poverty is the worst enemy for environment
and ecology. Because our tribal brothers
inhabiting the Barak Basin are extremely
poor and they have no other alternative but
to resort to Jhooming for survival,
unwittingly had to destroy once impenetrable
forest into degraded wastelands. Dam or no
dam our forests have no future. People will
laugh at us if we show the world the
conditions of our reserve forests.
You don’t have to go far to see the
conditions of our reserve forests. Langol
Hills, Nongmaijing Hills are next to Imphal,
as the best examples of reserved forests on
paper. When our Forest Department cannot
protect Langol Hills and Nongmaijing Hills
Reserved Forests next to the capital city,
you cannot expect to protect Irangmukh and
Tolbung Reserve Forests in the remote Barak
Basin. Our state is officially losing more
than 158 sq Kms of forests every year.
The alternative is to give our brothers in
the hills better tools for survival rather
than depending entirely on the forests for
food and domestic energy requirements.
Horticulture, terrace cultivations, cash
crop plantations should replace jhooming.
But it is only possible when the interior
region becomes accessible.
Fortunately, the proposed project will
provide 370 kms long waterways connecting
five most inaccessible subdivisions of
Manipur, namely Tausem, Tamenglong, Nungba,
Parbung and Tipaimukh. It will even connect
Mizoram. I don’t think anyone can impose
complete blockade or bandhs in this
waterway.
Seismic considerations
I appreciate the seismic worries of our
Manipuri scholars. But I fail to understand
why are they silent on the same subject for
Turial Project which is under construction
in Mizoram only 15 Kms away from Tipaimukh
Dam site and what about Loktak Downstream
and Tuivai Projects which are also within 50
kms of Tipaimukh Dam axis and waiting their
turns. Doyang Project in Nagaland is already
commissioned and another Dikhow Project is
on the way. There are seven large dams
coming up in Arunachal and Ranganadi project
already commissioned and Kameng Project
under construction. Bangladesh has Kaptai
Dam Commissioned in the Chittagong Hills.
Sikkim has Teesta Project nearly completed.
All these dams are near the edge of tectonic
plates as in the case of Tipaimukh Dam. Are
all these Dams exempted by almighty nature
and only Tipaimukh is the chosen candidate
for the tectonic disaster? Have they studied
the seismological impacts of 2675 large dams
in Japan, the country having a long history
of seismic and volcanic disasters? The
hypothetical theories of dam-induced
earthquakes have not so far been proved
scientifically.
Nowadays, we hear less number of earthquakes
in Japan probably more than 2,675 large dams
have stabilize the tectonic plates in the
Pacific Ring of Fire in Japan. You don’t
have to stop construction of buildings
because earthquakes kill many people. You
have to construct buildings, which could
withstand the probable intensity of the
quake. Seismic parameters should be
implemented in the design of the Dam, that
is what common people like me can suggests.
Seismic worries nearly stopped the Bhakra
Nangal Dam, which also is in an area of
earthquake zone ‘V’, where two tectonic
plates meet. But we must have faith in our
engineers who have constructed more than
4000 large dams in India and nothing serious
has happened so far.
Are all Manipuris are anti-Dam?
The recent Open Debate of the anti-Dam
People wanted to paint a wrong picture that
all Manipuris are anti-dam. They must
understand that there have been so many
Memoranda submitted by different groups of
people for the speedy implementation of this
project. The Senior Citizens for Society,
Manipur, Kuki Inpi, KSA and Tipaimukh Dam
Demand Committee are some of the few
examples.
All these eight villages (five villages
already deserted out of 13 villages to be
submerged earlier) to be submerged now are
also resettled by shifting from other
places. It is very common thing among our
tribal brothers to abandon villages when it
becomes unsustainable, as the surrounding
forests could no longer support them. We
have first to rehabilitate them from their
ignoble existence in small nondescript
hamlets, with limited resources, without any
basic amenities of life in the form of clean
potable water, electricity, roads,
health-care, and education. We cannot bring
social harmony among ourselves as long as
there is economic disparity, equity in the
distribution of available resources. Our
political leaders, bureaucrats and
intellectuals should consult with the tribal
chieftains and plan for proper
rehabilitation and resettlement. If wisely
used, funds earmarked for rehabilitation and
resettlement package of this project may be
a great help in changing the destiny of the
project-affected people.
Economic viability of the Project.
Some critics are advocating that the project
should be abandoned because it is no longer
economically viable. Yes, the project is no
longer economically viable if you consider
only the power generation revenue. But
consider the inherent and indirect benefits
in flood control, inland water
transportation, reservoir fishery,
employment generation, infrastructural
developments like roads, schools, community
centers, churches, water supply schemes,
electrification of the resettled villages,
tourism centre near Barak Falls, exclusive
400 KV transmission line from Tipaimukh to
Imphal to be constructed out of the project
costs.
The project cannot be considered as
economically unviable in larger perspective.
As the cost of equipment and construction
material has gone up worldwide, the cost of
the project is now almost 8000 crores. Power
Generation revenue out of 3895 GWH generated
annually at Rs. 2/- per KWH will be only
Rs.699/- crores. Unless the power tariff is
revised above Rs.2/- per KWH, NEEPCO may not
be in a position to meet the debt services
and recover the cost of the project even in
30 years. However, Cabinet Committee on
Investment has recommended sanctioning the
project even at a loss for the development
of the region. If the project were to be
planned only for flood control, it would
have no direct revenue at all.
Being a multi-purpose project, it will earn
revenue and we must insist to redesign the
power generation component of the project to
increase the revenue. To offset the losses,
in the present design, other Ministries like
Water resources, Power, Surface Transport,
HRD, Agriculture etc have to contribute to
the project for the flood moderation, rural
electrification, road construction, fishery
development and inland water transportation
facilitated by the project. Even, Assam
Government should contribute some share as
the state will benefit maximum as far as
flood moderation is concerned without
submerging an inch of her area and shall be
reclaiming vast areas of waterlogged
lowlands for fishery and agriculture.
You cannot close down universities or
hospitals because they are not economically
viable. You cannot stop building roads and
bridges because they give no revenue. It is
public utility services essential for
development. Economic viability is for the
Central Government to decide and to manage.
We must insist to construct the dam even if
it is loss-making project. Whether the
project is viable or unviable economically,
Manipur should get free power, employment in
the project, its affected people adequately
compensated, resettled and rehabilitated,
create new forests four times the size of
its submerged forests over and above
compensation of the trees to be cut for the
reservoir.
We also must compel the project authorities
or the Government of India to implement
Reservoir Fishery Project to offset the lost
of forest resources and to provide
alternative livelihood to the affected
villagers. The project should be
economically viable for Manipur if not for
NEEPCO or Central Government. Moreover, we
must request NEEPCO to redesign the Dam to
ensure that per unit cost of power is less
than Rs.2/- and Manipur get at least 500
crores per year as royalty. With such a
large storage area, FRL being 180 Metres and
large catchments area, heavy rainfall, there
must be something wrong in the design to
generate more power and increase the annual
power generation. Even if it is for flood
moderation, we don’t want such inefficient
dams and I am ready to join the anti dam
people on this issue. 100% of the annual
run-off must be harnessed optimum power
extracted and there will be no question of
economic non-viability of the project.
Further debates
Many projects in our country are victims of
unnecessary controversies. The two recently
constructed dams of the Narmada and the
Tehri had bitter battles between the
anti-dam NGOs and Governments resulting in
World Bank pulling out from these projects,
unending court cases and delays with
inherent huge cost overruns. The Narmada
Project was to cost 12,000 crores initially
and after having spent 29,000 crores it is
yet to be fully implemented. This is all
unnecessary waste of public money and time
which our poor country could ill afford when
millions of our population are below poverty
line. Except for nuisance value, waste of
money and time, anti dam movements
ultimately failed everywhere. Medha Patkar
backed by Arundhati Roy for the Narmada Dam;
Sunderlal Bahuguna for the Tehri Dam tried
their best but failed. What they could
manage was the nuisance of wasting nearly Rs
20,000 crores of public money and forcing
the World Bank to withdraw financing all
hydroelectric projects in the country. We
can enjoy the luxuries of open debates,
participation of all stakeholders in
decision making, when we have constructed as
many dams as in the USA and other developed
western countries and having reached their
level of development.
Today, the USA has more than 6700 large
dams, have built dams in all technically
suitable sites and having no more
technically conceivable sites is telling the
world that dams are bad and not to construct
dams. Naturally no one is listening and all
are constructing dams. Brazil has
constructed Itaipu Dam (12,000 MW), has
harnessed some tributaries of the Amazon and
even planning to harness the Amazon. China
after having constructed 22,000 large dams
is now constructing the Three Gorges Dam to
generate 20,000 MW, displacing more than 20
lakh people. As compared to these Mega dams,
Tipaimukh dam is a small fry. It is not the
Government of the USA or any other countries
or global NGOs to tell us what to do for the
welfare of our people and we have our own
constitutional provisions for
decision-making. If someone is not
convinced, he or she may appeal to the
Supreme Court and have his or her grievances
redressed. But, please don’t resort to
economic blockades and bandhs, which amount
to kicking at the stomach of the poor
people.
It is high time to seek the truth with open,
transparent and constructive debates rather
than trying to sabotage a developmental
project by provoking the emotions of
innocent people with half truths and
ignoring national priorities, plans and
policies for the bests interests of the
people. Today we need additional 32,000 MW
of power to reach 10% growth rate. Load
shedding is the common phenomena throughout
the country. Ideal ratio of thermal to
hydroelectric mix is 40:60 whereas we are
presently having 19:74 with the backup from
nuclear and wind power. Finally, I appeal to
all those who oppose the project to
understand the national priority of energy
security when the country is emerging to
become an economic superpower and trying to
achieve 10% growth rate. To day our
shortfall in power sector is more than
27,000 MW and this handicap is the major
stumbling block to sustain even the present
growth rate. Unless we view issues with
wider perspectives, our views will remain
myopic, self centered and no developmental
plans could be implemented. |