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India’s North-East: The Problem  — Part 1
There is no problem with the title of this talk. After all, such a title has been thought of simply because an area called the ‘Northeast’ exists in the country. But, to my mind, there is a serious problem with the bracketing of this region of nearly 40 million1 people, spread over eight2 states that cover a vast 2,63,000 square kilometer stretch, into what has come to be called the ‘Northeast.’3

By bracketing the eight northeastern Indian states, with its diverse tribes, customs and cultures, into what is called the ‘Northeast,’ we tend to ignore the distinct identity and sub-national aspirations of these ethnic groups. More so, such clubbing together of the region, in an attempt to look at it as a single entity, has led to stereotyping of the problems that plague the area. The fact that each state has a different set of location-specific concerns and grievances often gets blurred in the scheme of things of policy framers and government leaders who are supposed to address these issues.

It is true that the region has as many as 30 armed insurgent organizations4 operating and fighting the Indian State to push demands ranging from secession to autonomy and right to self determination. Besides, there are a plethora of ethnic groups clamoring for their rights and distinct identity, making the region one of South Asia’s hottest trouble spots. It is also true that strategic alliances between rebel groups in the region often transcend inter-state and international borders. For instance, the United Liberation Front of Asom’s (ULFA) earlier links with the Isak-Muivah faction of the National Socialist Council of Nagaland (NSCN-IM) are well known. Currently, the ULFA’s deadly 28th Battalion, that has a crack bomb squad, operates out of NSCN (Khaplang) bases in Myanmar and Arunachal Pradesh. Again, the ULFA’s nexus with the National Democratic Front of Boroland (NDFB) and the Kamatapur Liberation Organization (KLO) was established beyond doubt with the busting of camps of these three rebel groups in close proximity inside Bhutan during the Bhutanese military assault on the insurgents in December 2003.

Having said this, it must be borne in mind that even these rebel alliances are only for military reasons, for the basic purpose of survival. The only commonality among or between them is that all of them are fighting the Indian State or symbols of the Indian State to push ahead with their respective agenda. But, none of them would agree to fight for the liberation of the ‘Northeast’ in general. After all, their main battle is for territorial supremacy over areas they seek to represent. The internecine battle between the Kukis and the Nagas in Manipur in the nineties, aided by insurgent groups representing both communities, is a case in point.

The ULFA could have been an ally of the NSCN-IM at one point of time, and has a strategic tie-up with the NSCN-K now, but the group did not take long to warn the NSCN-IM against setting its eyes on Assam’s territory. I have elaborated the ULFA-NSCN-IM linkage vis-à-vis the latter’s ‘greater Nagaland’ demand slightly later in this paper. But, there is no doubt that there is a very big problem in bracketing this region as something called the ‘Northeast’ and looking at it as one single entity and prescribing solutions with such a concept in mind.

If attempts to club the region together and calling it the ‘Northeast’ is a problem, there are many other problems in the area, most of whom are the direct result of governmental insensitivity, administrative bungling or insensitivity of the Indian mainstream. Let me list a few of the problems or the trigger factors that have led to the problems in the region before attempting to talk on those at some length later in this paper:

• Complete lack of understanding of the psyche of the people of the region.
• Repeated, and even forceful attempts at assimilation of the region and its people with the so-called Indian ‘mainstream’ which, if anything, is absolutely alien to most parts of the region, and, therefore, considered by many in the region as not worth being a part of.
• Realization that an integrationist policy was not correct after all, has led the government to concede autonomy demands of ethnic groups, often leading to more such demands and aspirations.
• The lack of an institutionalized response mechanism with the Union Government to address emerging situations and thereby preventing their consolidation and transformation into popular agitations.
• The tendency to ignore emerging movements until the situation turns violent.
• The tendency to attach importance to agitations, whether armed campaigns or otherwise, by those groups which are more powerful or more violent.
• Total marginalization of the state police forces and increased dependence on the Army.
• Poor governance and lack of accountability of the officials and the official machinery engaged in ushering in development of the region.
• Corruption and leakage of development funds, directly impacting on the poor and the needy. There are instances and admissions by the Government of development funds reaching the insurgents in the region. 5
• Inability of the government to make the private sector open shop in the region in any big way.
• The extremely dangerous fondness to hold so-called peace talks with rebel groups, irrespective of their strength, social acceptance or relevance to local situations.
• Political instability of elected governments as in Manipur and Arunachal Pradesh.
• Ineffective border management, and ineffective handling of the problem of illegal migration from across India’s borders.
• Insensitiveness of the media whose coverage of the region is violence-driven. This applies to the local, metropolitan or the international media, both print as well as electronic.

Understanding Ethno-nationalism

‘We are Nagas by birth, Indians by accident,’ or ‘We are Khasis by birth and Indians by accident.’ Slogans such as these are commonly heard in the region, reflecting clearly the mindset of the people who inhabits the area. We need to try and understand the mindset of the people here rather than seeking to dub them as being largely anti-national or people with dangerous sub-national aspirations. Yes, the government leaders have come to realize that the area and its people are distinct, and have also suggested that their ‘mindset needs to be changed.’ But, who is going to change the mindset? That is the key question as discussions to that effect in conference rooms won’t do. I shall talk of this a little later when I refer to the role of the media in dealing or covering the region.

The region is an ethnic minefield, as it comprises of around 160 Scheduled Tribes6, besides an estimated 400 other tribal or sub-tribal communities and groups. Turbulence in the area, therefore, is not caused just by armed separatist groups representing different ethnic communities fighting the central or the state governments or their symbols to press for either total independence or autonomy, but also by the recurring battles for territorial supremacy among the different ethnic groups themselves. If the faction of the Naga guerrilla group, the National Socialist Council of Nagaland, headed by Isak Chishi Swu and Thuingaleng Muivah (NSCN-IM) has been pushing ahead with its demand for an independent Naga homeland to be carved out of India, the Naga and the Kuki ethnic groups in the state of Manipur, or the Bodo and Santhal tribes people in western Assam, have had a history of bitter conflict to retain control of as much land as possible and thereby preserve their identity and rights.

What the Northeast of India is witness to are essentially ethno-national movements by these groups to further their sub-national aspirations, often triggered by the fear of losing their distinct identity. For instance, the movement for maximum autonomy by the Bodos, Assam’s largest plains tribal community, has succeeded in the group securing a new politico-administrative structure within the existing State of Assam following a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the Government of India on 10 February, 2003. The Bodo-majority areas have now come under the Bodoland Territorial Council (BTC), a 40-member elective body that would run the day-to-day administration of the areas under it and undertake developmental projects to improve the condition of the community and the areas in which they inhabit with funds allocated to it directly by the central government, besides funding from the State government7. The BTC, run, until now, by an interim team of administrators, is gearing up to hold its first elections. The BTC Accord is seen as a fulfillment of the sub-national aspirations of the Bodos of Assam. Similarly, the six-year-long antiforeigner uprising spearheaded by the All Assam Students’ Union (AASU), the State’s apex student group, from 1979 to 1985, had been a movement triggered off by the fear within the indigenous Assamese community of being overwhelmed by the unabated influx of illegal Bangladeshi migrants from across the porous border. The anti-foreigner stir, among the biggest mass uprising in India since the country’s freedom struggle, ended with the signing of an agreement, popularly called the Assam Accord, between the central and state governments and the AASU on 15 August, 1985. The Accord fixed 25 March, 1971 (the day Bangladesh was born) as the cut-off date for detection and expulsion of the illegal foreign migrants from the State of Assam.

The region has been caught in a vicious cycle of lack of economic development and opportunities causing unrest and militancy, and then militancy and the resultant violence retarding economic growth8. For instance, the plan for industrial investment in the region between August 1991 to December 1994, under the post-liberalization Indian economy, was a mere Rs 2,224 crore, whereas in a single State like Maharashtra, the figure, during the corresponding period, stood at Rs 67,978 crore9. Under the circumstances, it is natural to find the people of the region harboring a great sense of alienation from the Indian mainstream and feel they are being neglected by this distant mainstream. This has resulted in the armed groups, as well as the unarmed ones, representing the region’s various ethnic groups and communities, often finding it rather easy to push ahead with their respective demands through either armed or non-violent forms of movements. To say it simply, these groups often have aggrieved constituencies to bank on to pursue their respective agenda. Another dimension to the problem in the region is that underground armed insurgent groups, overground socio-political groupings representing respective ethnic communities, and influential students’ outfits whose members are drawn from these communities often strive to achieve the same goal, that of protecting or pushing for the rights of the communities whose interests they seek to represent. Only the methods used are different.

New Delhi appears to have been convinced that an integrationist policy in holding the Northeast together was after all not a correct approach in view of the diverse nature of the region’s demographic profile. This may have halted it from performing its role as a ‘homogenizing state’ any longer, and instead recognizes the unique differences and distinct identities of the region’s ethnic groups and communities. It seems that it is this realization that is making the Indian Government concede demands for autonomy time and again, giving in to the aspirations of different ethnic groups at different points of time. This, in turn, has opened the Pandora’s Box with the proliferation of movements to achieve economic and political liberation on ethnic lines, thereby leading to feuds between ethnic groups within the region over territorial supremacy.

Before the latest agreement between New Delhi and the leaders of Assam’s Bodo ethnic group on 10 February, 2003, another Bodo Accord was signed in February 1993 that had led to the creation of a Bodoland Autonomous Council (BAC). The BAC was a non-starter as the Government could not arrive at a consensus in so far as the territorial boundary of this Council was concerned. But, the set of modalities that it put in place to fix the Council’s boundary triggered off a violent ethnic cleansing in western Assam.

Let us look at the inter-ethnic violence and the trigger factor: In the summer of 1996, the Bodos clashed with the Santhals, another ethnic group that cohabited the area around the principal district town of Kokrajhar, 250 kilometers west of Guwahati, Assam’s capital. More than 300,000 people belonging to both communities were displaced, and around 250 people were killed in the ethnic riots that began on 15 May, 1996 and continued sporadically till the end of that year10. As on February 2004, an estimated 130,000 people11 belonging to both communities were still living subhuman lives in so-called relief camps set up by the Government, although 50,000 people have been rehabilitated during the past one and half years by the State administration. Although a relative calm prevails in the area, the divide between these two groups has been widened beyond expectation.

Both communities, the Bodos and the Santhals, had been living in peace in the area for decades. But after the Bodo Accord of 1993, the Government came up with a formula that only those villages with a 50 per cent Bodo population were to be included into the BAC. This provision is generally believed to have encouraged a section of Bodos, including armed militant groups representing the community, to attempt ethnic cleansing—driving out the non-Bodos to convert vast stretches into Bodo majority areas and thereby get them included into the Bodo Council and widen its territory12.

The radical elements within the Santhal population responded by forming such rag-tag armed groups with scary names as the Adivasi Cobra Militants of Assam. The Cobra rebels began by snatching arms from the police and the paramilitary troopers, and have the potential to transform themselves into a more organized militant outfit. If that happens, peace in Assam’s Bodo tribal heartland, which is also home to the Santhals, would remain a far cry13. The Kuki-Naga riots that rocked the state of Manipur in the mid-nineties, mainly during 1992-1993, leading to the deaths of hundreds of people14, is another clear example of inter-ethnic battles in India’s Northeast over territorial control. Both the Nagas and the Kukis are fighting for separate homelands and their territories overlap. Members of the two groups have frequently clashed in the past too for control of the lucrative heroin trade route through Moreh, an Indian outpost close to the border with Myanmar.

The key factors that have prompted the Kuki-Naga clashes include the desire of the Nagas, particularly the rebels, to ease out the Kukis who form a sizeable chunk of the population in the four hill tribal-dominated districts in Manipur that they have set their eyes on. This also led to the emergence or consolidation of the Kuki insurgent groups that also resorted to violent means to counter the Naga rebel actions or to defend the community, often located in remote hill-top hamlets. The Nagas in Manipur, including the United Naga Council, Manipur (UNCM), have been openly seeking the merger of the Naga areas in Manipur into the adjoining state of Nagaland. The armed insurgent groups in the region may be fighting the Indian state, but when it comes to protecting their own homeland cause, they don’t hesitate to lock horns with other rebel groups or forces within the region. For instance, the United Liberation Front of Asom (ULFA)—Assam’s frontline rebel group fighting for a ‘sovereign, Socialist Assam,’ since its formation on 7 April, 1979—openly came out against the NSCN-IM’s design to unify the Naga-inhabited areas in the Northeast by merging Naga dominated territories in states like Assam with the state of Nagaland.

The ULFA, through the 17 July, 2001, issue of its mouthpiece, Freedom, ridiculed the idea of Nagalim or a ‘greater’ Naga homeland and observed that ‘history should not be distorted only to satisfy the chauvinistic ego.’ Terming the decision to extend the cease-fire ‘a suicidal act’, the ULFA expressed hope that the ‘Naga leaders would review their stand concerning their most talked Nagalim over others territories15’. This has, of course, been one of those rare occasions when the ULFA chose to criticize its former ally, and was obviously aimed at playing to its Assamese constituent in the state.

Funds & Governance: Key Problems

Poor governance has been a major problem in the region. This goes back to the first two decades after India’s independence when the national leaders were busy addressing the broader economic concerns, giving shape to the country’s foreign policy and grappling with the nitty-gritty’s of administering the nation. The northeastern region did not figure high on New Delhi’s agenda during this period except, perhaps, the realization that this was a strategic area that needed concentration of military strength. This led to an impression that the Indian leadership actually regarded the region as a buffer against possible foreign aggression and hardly anything else. What followed is well known to us: the region got caught in the vicious cycle of lack of development breeding insurgency and unrest, and militancy and violence retarding economic growth.

By the mid-sixties, when militancy had come to strike roots in the region and gave rise to dangerous-looking insurgency movements with separatist designs, the Union Government started pumping money to the states in the region, hoping that a semblance of economic growth or development could halt this trend. Today, despite the lack of industrialization, the Net State Domestic Product in the region is growing at the rate of 11.2 per cent per annum at $4.2 billion, indicating a high purchasing power of the people in the area compared to those in the rest of the country. But, insurgency continues, and has in fact multiplied and assumed dangerous proportions, with trans-border linkages, making them flush with funds and military hardware.

I would like to list two main reasons why pumping of funds into the region by the Centre has not had the desired impact:

• Leakage of funds at various levels of the government machinery. Development funds making their way into the coffers of the insurgent groups are common knowledge16.
• Lack of capacity by the states in the region to absorb the huge quantity of funds in the absence of training and expertise to successfully come up with implementable location-specific projects and the infrastructure to get some of these projects off the drawing board stage.

Prime Minister Deve Gowda in 1996 appeared to have been convinced that development efforts and counter-insurgency measures must go hand-in-hand in the region. He seemed to have realized that the government simply could not wait for an insurgency to end or the situation to improve before launching serious development and economic regeneration drives. Prime Minister Gowda toured the region for six days at a stretch and in October 1996 came up with a Rs 6,100 crore exclusive economic package for the region. His successor I.K.Gujral increased this amount to more than Rs 7,000 crore and then Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee in January 2000 announced a Rs 10,000 crore special package for the region. Once again the familiar problem of the package being left largely unimplemented has come to neutralize its intended impact. This was because of poor monitoring, lack of accountability and non-adherence to the set time frame for project execution.

Sample this as an example of governmental admission to misappropriation or diversion of development funds and poor monitoring: On October 26, 2004, DONER Minister P.R.Kyndiah announced a ‘special economic package’ of Rs 240 crore to the troubled State of Manipur. The package is meant for projects especially in the fields of education, health, power, transport and communication. Announcing the package—sourced from the non-lapsable pool of central resources—DONER Minister Kyndiah said utilization of the funds would be ‘strictly monitored.’ He added: “We are aware that funds sanctioned earlier for various projects have been siphoned out or diverted. We have reminded the Chief Minister to prevent such anomalies. There could be a significant impact on the State’s fortunes if our guidelines are adhered to…17” Another fact that needs to be taken into account is that the continuity of the programs gets snapped with the change in governments at the Centre and in the states concerned. The tragedy in so far as the region is concerned is that New Delhi changes its policy to this area with the change of governments and political parties heading the government.

Less than ten years ago, then Prime Minister Deve Gowda set up a high-level committee to list the requirements for infrastructure development in the region. The Committee went on to recommend earmarking of a whopping Rs 28,000 crore for the region to have the basic infrastructure in place for possible industrial investments18. The projection on that occasion may have shown a huge gap, but the fact remains that funds have been flowing in rather liberally to the region. An analyst writes: “The Department of North Eastern Region (DONER) has an annual budget of Rs.550 crores. The North Eastern Council (NEC)—the region’s apex development funding agency—has another Rs.500 crores earmarked for the region. This amount in totality is a small part of the enormous amount of funding available to the States through different central schemes, one-time packages announced by successive Prime Ministers, ‘Peace Packages’ provided to States like Nagaland and Mizoram etc, grants by international development agencies like the World Bank, and the Asian Development Bank (ADB), which recently (in 2003) approved a master project for the Northeast of Rs.2,000 crores.19”

End Notes:

1 Census of India, 2001
2 The state of Sikkim has recently been formally bracketed under ‘Northeast’ after it has been included into the North Eastern Council (NEC), the region’s apex funding and development agency. The other seven states of the Northeast are: Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Mizoram, Arunachal Pradesh, Manipur and Tripura.
3 Located at: Longitude 89.46 degree E to 97.30 degree E and Latitude 21.57 degree N to 29.30 degree N.
4 The Indian Ministry of Home Affairs’ Annual Report for 2002-2003 has listed 24 active insurgent groups in the northeastern states (there are several dormant ones). In its chapter titled ‘Security Scenario in the North East, the report (Sl No 3.104) states: The most serious militant affected states/areas viz, the whole of Manipur, Nagaland and Assam, Tirap and Changlang districts of Arunachal Pradesh and a 20 km belt in the states having common border with Assam have been declared as ‘disturbed areas’ under the Armed Forces (Special Powers) Act, 1958 as amended in 1972. (The Armed Forces Act gives sweeping powers to the security forces to the extent of shooting to kill a suspected insurgent).
5 In June 2003, Union Minister for the Department of North Eastern Region (DONER) C.P.Thakur maintained that almost 10 per cent of the funds meant for the development of the NE region are going to the coffers of the militants, ‘in most of the schemes.’ See Bibhu Prasad Routray, ‘Neglected Northeast: Whose Responsibility?’, Institute for Peace and Conflict Studies, New Delhi
<http://ipcs.org/North_east_articles2.jsp?action=showView&kValue=1154&status=article&mod=a
6 Those tribes or tribal communities that are recognized under Article 342 of the Indian Constitution.
7 The Memorandum of Understanding on the BTC, signed on Feb 10, 2003 reads: ‘In order to accelerate the development of the region and to meet the aspirations of the people, the Government of India will provide
financial assistance of Rs 100 crores per annum for 5 years for projects to develop the socio-economic infrastructure in BTC areas over and above the normal plan assistance to the State of Assam’.
For the full text of the MoU see South Asia Terrorism Portal,
http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/india/states/assam/documents/papers/memorandum_feb02.htm (Accessed on 16 February 2004).
8 For specific indicators demonstrating the economic under-development of India’s Northeast, see Wasbir Hussain, ‘Contemporary North-East India: Problems and Prospects,’ in J P Singh (eds), Trends in Social Sciences and Humanities in North East India (1947-97), (New Delhi: Regency Publications, 1998), pp.129-136.
9 Ibid..
10 Wasbir Hussain, ‘Our Land, Our Refugees’, The Hindu, 26 May, 2000.
11 Dr. A K Bhutani, Deputy Commissioner, Kokrajhar, Interview with the Author, 26 February, 2004.
12 Ibid..
13 Wasbir Hussain, ‘Meeting the Challenges of Insurgency in NE: The Centre’s Responsibility’, Paper presented at a national seminar on ‘Terrorism: An Unending Malaise’, at New Delhi, March 2-3, 2000 organized by the Indian Council of Social Science Research (ICSSR), New Delhi, held at India International Centre in New Delhi.
14 According to an estimate 750 Kukis lost their lives and a total of 1,14,300 others belonging to both Naga and Kuki communities have been displaced during the conflict. Bhagat Oinam, ‘Patterns of Ethnic Conflicts in the Northeast: A Study on Manipur’, Imphal Free Press, 26 June, 2003.
15 Bibhu Prasad Routray, ‘Naga-Cease-Fire Extension: Clash of Imagined Homelands’, Website of the Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies, http://www.ipcs.org/ipcs/issueIndex2.jsp?action=showView&kValue=812&issue=1014&status=article&mod=b (Accessed on January 27, 2004)
16 See Wasbir Hussain, ‘A Protest Hijacked’, Outlook, August 30, 2004, p-33 for an idea of the annual budget of some of the insurgent groups in Manipur, for instance. According to intelligence estimates, the yearly budget of the United National Liberation Front (UNLF) is Rs 9 crore, PLA Rs 9 crore, People’s Revolutionary Party of Kangleipak (PREPAK) Rs 6 crore, NSCN-IM Rs 9 crore, NSCN-K Rs 8 crore, Kanglei Yawol Kanna Lup (KYKL) Rs 6 crore and the Kuki National Army (KNA) Rs 4 crore.
17 The Telegraph, Calcutta, ‘Money balm for Manipur,’ October 27, 2004.The Telegraph, Calcutta, ‘Money balm for Manipur,’ October 27, 2004.
18 Wasbir Hussain, ‘Contemporary North-East India: Problems and Prospects,’ in J P Singh (eds), Trends in Social Sciences and Humanities in North East India (1947-97), (New Delhi: Regency Publications, 1998), pp.128-129
19 Bibhu Prasad Routray, ‘Neglected Northeast: Whose Responsibility?’, Institute for Peace and Conflict Studies, New Delhi
<http://ipcs.org/North_east_articles2.jspa?ction=showView&kValue=1154&status=article&mod=a

*** Wasbir Hussain is a journalist and commentator based in Guwahati, India, and Director Centre for Development & Peace Studies, Guwahati, India. He is also Associate Fellow, Institute for Conflict Management, New Delhi. He has been covering insurgency, ethnic strife, and other major political and social developments in the seven north eastern Indian states for the past 20 years. Before his present assignment, Hussain was Consulting Editor, The Newspaper Today, INDIA TODAY GROUP ONLINE, Editor, The Northeast Daily, Guwahati, Special Correspondent with The Asian Age; Regional Editor of The Telegraph; and Special Correspondent of The Telegraph. He bagged the 1996 Sanskriti Foundation National Award for excellence in journalism, from Sanskriti Pratisthan, New Delhi.

*** The paper was presented as part of the "Interaction on the North East" Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi Nov.18, 2004

to be continued.......

 

Part 2